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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Sabalenka vs Svitolina predictions for Australian Open 2026.
Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will lock horns in the semifinals of the Australian Open 2026 on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Svitolina match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Sabalenka-Svitolina women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Sabalenka a 79% chance of defeating Svitolina in the Australian Open 2026.
Additionally, Sabalenka has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabalenka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -400 | +340 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-122) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-118) | u20.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sabalenka | -400 |
| First Set | Svitolina | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina updates and essential details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina is scheduled to start on Thursday at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Elina Svitolina at the Australian Open 2026.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Svitolina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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