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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sabalenka vs Rybakina predictions for Australian Open 2026.
Aryna Sabalenka will square off with Elena Rybakina in the final of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Rybakina match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina prediction: Who will win the final?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Sabalenka-Rybakina women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Sabalenka a 58% chance of defeating Rybakina in the Australian Open 2026.
Additionally, Sabalenka has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -164 | +145 |
| First Set | -152 | +120 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-112) | +2.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-126) | u22.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rybakina | +145 |
| First Set | Rybakina | -106 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Elena Rybakina to win the first set.
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina updates and essential details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina
- Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Final
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Elena Rybakina at the Australian Open 2026.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Rybakina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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