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Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Arsenal vs Chelsea predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Premier League action continues on Sunday at 11:30 AM ET as Chelsea takes on Arsenal at Emirates Stadium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of the Arsenal vs. Chelsea game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 67.3% chance of Arsenal winning, a 13.7% chance for Chelsea, and a 19.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Arsenal | Chelsea | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -170 | +500 | +330 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arsenal | -170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -144 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arsenal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ARS 2-0 CHE | 11.2% |
| ARS 1-0 CHE | 10.3% |
| ARS 2-1 CHE | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.7% chance that both Arsenal and Chelsea score, and a 48.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Arsenal and Chelsea at Emirates Stadium is scheduled to commence in the USA at 11:30 AM ET.
- Who: Arsenal vs. Chelsea
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Arsenal has a 67.3% win probability on Sunday, Chelsea has a 13.7% win probability, and there is a 19.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arsenal vs. Chelsea insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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