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Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Arsenal vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
2
Mar 1, 4:30PM Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Mar 1, 4:30PM Emirates Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
W. Saliba (21')
Soccer ball icon
J. Timber (66')
Soccer ball icon
P. Hincapie (o.g.) (45')
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P. Neto (70')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces M. Sarr
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces E. Fernandez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces C. Palmer
79'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: K. Havertz replaces V. Gyokeres
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: C. Norgaard replaces D. Rice
75'
Yellow Card
Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces Andrey Santos
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces J. Hato
70'
Red Card
P. Neto (Chelsea) sent off for a second yellow card
67'
Yellow Card
P. Neto (Chelsea) cautioned
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by J. Timber, assisted by D. Rice
1-2
65'
Yellow Card
J. Hato (Chelsea) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
C. Palmer (Chelsea) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Hincapie (o.g.), assisted by R. James
1-1
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by W. Saliba, assisted by Gabriel
0-1

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Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -190, Chelsea +525, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Arsenal: 68.2%
  • Chelsea: 13.3%
  • Draw: 18.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Arsenal 2-0 Chelsea, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 68.2% probability, while Chelsea sits at 13.3%, with the draw at 18.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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