Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Aliaksandra Sasnovich will face Jasmine Paolini in the first round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Jasmine Paolini as the most likely winner of the Sasnovich vs. Paolini match.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sasnovich vs. Paolini prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sasnovich-Paolini women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Paolini a 67% chance of defeating Sasnovich in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Paolini has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sasnovich (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sasnovich vs. Paolini picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: