Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026

Alexandre Muller and Matteo Berrettini are scheduled to meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Miami Open event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Muller vs. Berrettini match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Muller vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Muller-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Berrettini a 77% chance of defeating Muller at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

Additionally, Berrettini has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Berrettini odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Muller vs. Berrettini picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexandre Muller to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Muller vs. Berrettini updates and essential details

The ATP Miami Open match between Alexandre Muller and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 1:50 PM ET.

• Who: Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Berrettini
• Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:50 PM ET/10:50AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Alexandre Muller at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Muller vs. Berrettini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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