Alexandre Muller vs. Marcos Giron prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hong Kong 2026

Alexandre Muller and Marcos Giron are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Hong Kong event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Marcos Giron as the most likely winner of the Muller vs. Giron match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Muller vs. Giron prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Muller-Giron men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Giron a 53% chance of winning against Muller at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.

Additionally, Giron has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering**, while the under 23.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Alexandre Muller vs. Marcos Giron odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Muller vs. Giron picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: