Alexander Bublik vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026

Alexander Bublik will take on Matteo Berrettini in the round of 64 at the ATP Miami event on Friday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alexander Bublik as the most likely winner of the Bublik vs. Berrettini match.

This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bublik vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Bublik-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Bublik a 56% chance of beating Berrettini at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

Additionally, Bublik has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Alexander Bublik vs. Matteo Berrettini odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bublik vs. Berrettini picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Berrettini to win.

Although Berrettini is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Bublik vs. Berrettini updates and essential details

The ATP Miami Open match between Alexander Bublik and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to begin on Friday at 5:25 PM ET.

• Who: Alexander Bublik vs. Matteo Berrettini
• Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:25 PM ET/2:25PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alexander Bublik, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Berrettini at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bublik vs. Berrettini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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