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Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar prediction, odds, picks for ATP Indian Wells Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Tabilo vs Jodar predictions for ATP Indian Wells Open.
Alejandro Tabilo will square off with Rafael Jodar in the round of 128 at the ATP Indian Wells event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Tabilo vs. Jodar match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tabilo vs. Jodar prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Tabilo-Jodar men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Jodar a 55% chance of winning against Tabilo at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.
Additionally, Jodar has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tabilo (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tabilo | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +134 | -164 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-116) | -1.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-105) | u23.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tabilo vs. Jodar picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tabilo | +134 |
| First Set | Jodar | -140 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alejandro Tabilo to win.
Although Tabilo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tabilo vs. Jodar updates and essential details
The ATP Indian Wells Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Indian Wells, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Tabilo at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tabilo vs. Jodar insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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