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Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francisco Cerundolo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tabilo vs Cerundolo predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Alejandro Tabilo and Francisco Cerundolo will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Italian Open event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Francisco Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Tabilo vs. Cerundolo match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tabilo vs. Cerundolo prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Tabilo-Cerundolo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Cerundolo a 57% chance of defeating Tabilo at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Cerundolo has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tabilo (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francisco Cerundolo odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tabilo | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +142 | -160 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-118) | -2.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-112) | u22.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tabilo vs. Cerundolo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tabilo | +142 |
| First Set | Cerundolo | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alejandro Tabilo to win.
Although Tabilo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tabilo vs. Cerundolo updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Francisco Cerundolo is scheduled to commence on Friday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francisco Cerundolo
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Francisco Cerundolo, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Tabilo at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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