Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francesco Passaro prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026

Alejandro Tabilo will square off with Francesco Passaro in the round of 16 at the ATP Rio de Janeiro event on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alejandro Tabilo as the most likely winner of the Tabilo vs. Passaro match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tabilo vs. Passaro prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Tabilo-Passaro men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Tabilo a 63% chance of winning against Passaro at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Additionally, Tabilo has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tabilo (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francesco Passaro odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tabilo vs. Passaro picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Francesco Passaro to win.

Although Passaro is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tabilo vs. Passaro updates and essential details

The ATP Rio Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Francesco Passaro is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 6:30 PM ET.

• Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Francesco Passaro
• Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alejandro Tabilo, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Francesco Passaro at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tabilo vs. Passaro insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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