Alabama vs. Indiana prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Rose Bowl [2026]

Indiana will face Alabama in the 2026 Rose Bowl at Rose Bowl on New Year's Day, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college football model predicts Indiana as the most likely winner of the Alabama vs. Indiana game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Rose Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2026 Rose Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Indiana a 65% chance of defeating Alabama. Our predicted final score has Indiana winning 26-21.

According to our model, Alabama (+7.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Rose Bowl odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alabama vs. Indiana picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: