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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Get Vallejo vs Cobolli predictions for ATP Madrid Open.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Flavio Cobolli are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Flavio Cobolli as the most likely winner of the Vallejo vs. Cobolli match.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Vallejo vs. Cobolli prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Vallejo-Cobolli men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Cobolli a 60% chance of winning against Vallejo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Cobolli has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Vallejo (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Flavio Cobolli odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Vallejo | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +175 | -197 |
| First Set | +137 | -175 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-105) | -2.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Vallejo vs. Cobolli picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vallejo | +175 |
| First Set | Cobolli | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Adolfo Vallejo to win.
Although Vallejo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Vallejo vs. Cobolli updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Flavio Cobolli is scheduled to commence on Monday at 11:20 AM ET.
- Who: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Flavio Cobolli
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:20 AM ET/8:20AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Flavio Cobolli, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Adolfo Vallejo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
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