Philadelphia vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. NY City MLS match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIVE
90'
MLS
Updating LIVE
LIVE
90'
Updating LIVE
MLS sport icon
MLS
Philadelphia
3
:
2
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
B. Traore (pen.) (4')
Soccer ball icon
Luighi (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
D. Jean Jacques (48')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (69')
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B. Damiani (75')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    0.1%
  • Draw
    4.8%
  • Philadelphia
    95.1%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Jones (New York City) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Yellow Card
    K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  4. 79'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces M. Murray
  6. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by Q. Sullivan
    3-2
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  8. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by C. Sullivan
    2-2
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces Luighi
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces B. Traore
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces J. Shore
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. O'Toole replaces K. Parks
  14. 51'
    Yellow Card
    M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  15. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Jean Jacques, assisted by C. Sullivan
    1-2
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by Luighi (pen.)
    0-2
  17. 44'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  18. 43'
    Yellow Card
    Luighi (New York City) cautioned
  19. 16'
    Yellow Card
    N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  20. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by B. Traore (pen.)
    0-1

Philadelphia vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +150, NY City +185, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 32.5%
  • NY City: 43.9%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 NY City (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Philadelphia vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.9%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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