Portland vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Chicago MLS match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Portland
1
2
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
R. Lod (9')
Soccer ball icon
D. D'Avilla (14')
Soccer ball icon
F. Surman (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Portland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    V. Janssen (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: O. Fernandez replaces K. Miller
  3. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by F. Surman, assisted by B. Bye
    1-2
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces A. Saletros
  5. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Saletros (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: V. Janssen replaces D. Da Costa
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Caicedo replaces D. Chara
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Lassiter replaces Antony
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces C. Bassett
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Bamba replaces R. Lewandowski
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces P. Zinckernagel
  13. 57'
    Yellow Card
    R. Lod (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  14. 51'
    Yellow Card
    B. Bye (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  15. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. D'Avilla, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
    0-2
  16. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Lod, assisted by A. Gutman
    0-1

Portland vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Chicago
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +380, Chicago -143, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-275/+210)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 21.9%
  • Chicago: 58.3%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-2 Chicago (9.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Portland vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.3%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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