Atlante vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlante vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlante
3
2
Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Estadio Banorte
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
AtlanteATE
N. Ibanez (60')
Soccer ball icon
A. Palavecino (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Puente (44')
Soccer ball icon
L. Calzadilla (47')
Soccer ball icon
Jhojan Julio (pen.) (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlante
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Penalty missed by G. Fernandez for Cruz Azul
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by G. Fernandez
    3-2
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Castaneda replaces N. Ibanez
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlante: A. Escobar replaces W. Portales
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlante: W. Clar replaces L. Calzadilla
  6. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlante by Jhojan Julio (pen.)
    3-1
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlante: L. Mejia replaces E. Pizzuto
  9. 68'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Ebere
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces L. Romero
  12. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    2-1
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlante: D. Gonzalez replaces L. Puente
  14. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rodriguez replaces G. Piovi
  15. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Paradela replaces A. Montano
  16. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlante by L. Calzadilla, assisted by Jhojan Julio
    2-0
  17. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlante by L. Puente, assisted by W. Portales
    1-0
  18. 15'
    Yellow Card
    L. Calzadilla (Atlante) cautioned

Atlante vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlante vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlante +800, Cruz Azul -250, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlante: 8.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 77.6%
  • Draw: 14.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlante 0-2 Cruz Azul (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Atlante vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 77.6%.

The most likely correct score is Atlante 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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