Monterrey vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Atlas Liga MX match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
0
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
Duk (71')
Red Card icon
M. Valenzuela (90')
Red Card icon
D. Rossi (28')
Soccer ball icon
C. Salcedo (90')
Red Card icon
L. Ocampos (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    M. Valenzuela (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
    2-0
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Torres
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Lozano replaces E. Zaldivar
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Martin replaces R. Mmaee
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces A. Gonzalez
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: F. Ambriz replaces J. Corona
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rodriguez replaces O. Pineda
  11. 71'
    Red Card
    Duk (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: R. Chavez replaces L. Orellano
  13. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces A. Aceves
  14. 57'
    Yellow Card
    A. Aceves (Monterrey) cautioned
  15. 49'
    Yellow Card
    E. Zaldivar (Atlas) cautioned
  16. 47'
    Yellow Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
  17. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: S. Hernandez replaces L. Esteves
  18. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: Gustavo Ferrareis replaces J. Sanchez
  19. 40'
    Yellow Card
    L. Esteves (Atlas) cautioned
  20. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by D. Rossi
    1-0
  21. 19'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Atlas) cautioned
  22. 18'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned

Monterrey vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +170, Atlas +165, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 39.2%
  • Atlas: 35.0%
  • Draw: 25.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Atlas (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.2%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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