Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/23/2026]

Pumas UNAM and Necaxa will lock horns in Liga MX on Sunday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner in this Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Necaxa, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 52.8% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 23.7% chance for Necaxa, and a 23.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.3% chance of going over, with a 55.1% probability that both teams find the net.

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Necaxa +280, Pumas UNAM -105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM @ -105 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +110 via Bet365

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa (11.1% probability)
• Pumas UNAM 1-0 Necaxa (10.1%)
• Pumas UNAM 2-1 Necaxa (9.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between Pumas UNAM and Necaxa is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 52.8% win probability on Sunday, Necaxa has a 23.7% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.