Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on August 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIVE
90'
LIGA MX
Updating LIVE
LIVE
90'
Updating LIVE
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
:
1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
L. Herrera (88')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    5.9%
  • Draw
    89.9%
  • Necaxa
    4.2%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Luna (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by L. Herrera, assisted by G. Martinez
    1-1
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: P. Pedraza replaces L. Faravelli
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces V. Arteaga
  7. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by E. Rodriguez
    1-0
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces C. Calderon
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Torres Patino replaces M. Espindola
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces C. Vargas
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces A. Carrasquilla
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces O. Gonzalez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: L. Herrera replaces Juninho
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: I. Luna replaces P. Vite
  15. 37'
    Yellow Card
    P. Vite (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +300, Pumas UNAM -105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 23.7%
  • Pumas UNAM: 52.8%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.8%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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