Puebla vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/31/2026]
Get Puebla vs Guadalajara predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Puebla will square off with Guadalajara in Liga MX action on Friday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner in this Puebla vs. Guadalajara prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 23.4% chance of Puebla winning, a 52.6% chance for Guadalajara, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.0% chance of going over, with a 53.3% chance that both teams find the net.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Guadalajara | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +450 | -165 | +333 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -150 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Puebla @ +450 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +120 via Bet365
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-1 GUA | 11.4% |
| PUE 0-1 GUA | 10.8% |
| PUE 1-2 GUA | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Puebla vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between Puebla and Guadalajara is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 23.4% win probability on Friday, Guadalajara has a 52.6% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
