Guadalajara vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Puebla Liga MX match on July 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
:
1
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
E. Mustre (26')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. F. Moreno Villegas replaces E. Gomez
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Villa replaces A. Organista
  3. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: K. Castaneda replaces B. Gutierrez
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces R. Ledezma
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: L. Hernandez replaces E. Mustre
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Gonzalez
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: M. Tomas replaces C. Baltazar
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces F. Gonzalez
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: O. Govea replaces J. Carrillo
  10. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by E. Alvarez
    1-1
  11. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Mustre
    0-1

Guadalajara vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -190, Puebla +500, draw +375
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 54.7%
  • Puebla: 21.8%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Puebla (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.7%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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