Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/26/2026]

Necaxa will square off with Monterrey in Liga MX action at Estadio Victoria on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Monterrey game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Monterrey, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 32.7% chance of Necaxa winning, a 44.4% chance for Monterrey, and a 22.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.7% chance of going over, with a 64.6% chance that both teams score.

Necaxa vs. Monterrey odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Necaxa	Monterrey	Draw
+270	+115	+270

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-145	+132

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Necaxa vs. Monterrey picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Necaxa @ +270 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -145 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Necaxa vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
NXA 1-1 MNT	10%
NXA 1-2 MNT	8.9%
NXA 2-1 MNT	7.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.6% chance of both Necaxa and Monterrey finding the net and a 35.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Necaxa vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Necaxa and Monterrey at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Necaxa vs. Monterrey
• Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Victoria

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 32.7% win probability on Sunday, Monterrey has a 44.4% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.