Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on July 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
1
2
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
J. Carranza (56')
Soccer ball icon
J. Valencia (90')
Soccer ball icon
S. Medina (20')
Red Card icon
L. Ocampos (pen.) (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Valencia replaces J. Ruiz
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Valencia, assisted by M. Zaleta
    1-2
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces J. Rodriguez
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces L. Faravelli
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces C. Vargas
  6. 79'
    Yellow Card
    M. Varini (Necaxa) cautioned
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces L. Orellano
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Pedroza replaces J. P. Torres Patino
  9. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
    1-1
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: H. Cuypers replaces D. Rossi
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces G. Arteaga
  12. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by F. Mendez
    0-1
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces R. Monreal
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Pineda replaces J. Corona
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  16. 32'
    Yellow Card
    R. Chavez (Monterrey) cautioned
  17. 27'
    Yellow Card
    L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
  18. 20'
    Red Card
    S. Medina (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card
  19. 5'
    Yellow Card
    R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned

Monterrey vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +115, Necaxa +270, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 44.4%
  • Necaxa: 32.7%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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