Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/22/2026]

Cruz Azul will take on Atlas in Liga MX action at Estadio Banorte on Saturday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner in this Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Atlas, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 63.0% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 15.7% chance for Atlas, and a 21.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52.6% chance of going over, with a 51.2% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Atlas +475, Cruz Azul -160

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul @ -160 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +108 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:

• Cruz Azul 1-0 Atlas (12% probability)
• Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas (11.6%)
• Cruz Azul 1-1 Atlas (10.1%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.8% chance of both Cruz Azul and Atlas finding the net and a 51.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Cruz Azul and Atlas at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 63.0% win probability on Saturday, Atlas has a 15.7% win probability, and there is a 21.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.