Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/22/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Cruz Azul vs Atlas predictions for Liga MX Saturday.

Cruz Azul-Atlas Predictions and Game Preview.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Liga MX prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026.

Cruz Azul will square off with Atlas in Liga MX action at Estadio Banorte on Saturday, beginning at 11:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner in this Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Atlas, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 64.3% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 14.9% chance for Atlas, and a 20.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.1% chance of going over, with a 51.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

 

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Atlas +550, Cruz Azul -190

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Atlas @ +550 via Bet365
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +105 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atlas to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:

  • Cruz Azul 1-0 Atlas (12% probability)
  • Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas (11.8%)
  • Cruz Azul 1-1 Atlas (9.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Cruz Azul vs. Atlas game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Cruz Azul and Atlas at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 64.3% win probability on Saturday, Atlas has a 14.9% win probability, and there is a 20.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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