Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on August 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIVE
90'
LIGA MX
Updating LIVE
LIVE
90'
Updating LIVE
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Atlas
2
:
0
Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Estadio Banorte
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
AtlasATL
E. Zaldivar (30')
Soccer ball icon
F. Monzon (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    <0.1%
  • Draw
    0.2%
  • Atlas
    99.8%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Rodriguez replaces M. Valenzuela
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces L. Esteves
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Silva replaces O. Campos
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: S. Hernandez replaces E. Zaldivar
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Rodriguez
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Gonzalez replaces J. Marquez
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: Gustavo Ferrareis replaces A. Gonzalez
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces Duk
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces C. Ebere
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces A. Montano
  11. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by F. Monzon
    2-0
  12. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by E. Zaldivar, assisted by Duk
    1-0

Atlas vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +475, Cruz Azul -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 15.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 63.0%
  • Draw: 21.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 0-1 Cruz Azul (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atlas vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.0%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 0-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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