Valencia vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Barcelona La Liga match on September 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Barcelona
5
0
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
Lamine Yamal (6')
Soccer ball icon
Fermin (22')
Soccer ball icon
Raphinha (50')
Soccer ball icon
Pedri (79')
Soccer ball icon
Lamine Yamal (84')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by D. Olmo
    5-0
  2. 81'
    Yellow Card
    A. Martinez (Valencia) cautioned
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Gabriel Jesus replaces Pedri
  4. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Pedri, assisted by D. Olmo
    4-0
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces D. Otorbi
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: D. Olmo replaces Fermin
  7. 65'
    Yellow Card
    Fermin (Barcelona) cautioned
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces P. Cubarsi
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: K. Adeyemi replaces A. Gordon
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Bernal replaces Rodri
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: I. Cordoba replaces M. Diakhaby
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: R. Sato replaces J. Guerra
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: C. Tarrega replaces Pepelu
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Gaya replaces J. Vazquez
  15. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Elliott replaces P. Maffeo
  16. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Raphinha, assisted by Fermin
    3-0
  17. 47'
    Yellow Card
    Rodri (Barcelona) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Cubarsi (Barcelona) cautioned
  19. 29'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: J. Kounde replaces E. Garcia
  20. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Fermin, assisted by A. Gordon
    2-0
  21. 9'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  22. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by Fermin
    1-0

Valencia vs. Barcelona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia 8¢, Barcelona 78¢, draw 15¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (72¢/29¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 12.6%
  • Barcelona: 70.0%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 0-2 Barcelona (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Valencia vs. Barcelona? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.0%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 0-2 Barcelona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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