Alaves vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Osasuna La Liga match on September 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
vs.
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • Osasuna
    31.7%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Draw
    28.2%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Alaves
    40.1%
    PolymarketPolymarket

Alaves vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves 42¢, Osasuna 27¢, draw 32¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (38¢/63¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 40.1%
  • Osasuna: 31.7%
  • Draw: 28.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Osasuna (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Alaves vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.1%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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