Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves La Liga match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
0
Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Berenguer (o.g.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Izeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces M. Diarra
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    M. Sannadi (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces A. Berenguer
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: J. Pacheco replaces C. Alena
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  11. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by A. Berenguer (o.g.)
    1-0
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  13. 49'
    Yellow Card
    N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces J. Guridi
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces M. Diaz
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces C. Vicente
  17. 30'
    Yellow Card
    M. Diaz (Alaves) cautioned
  18. 19'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de San Mamés

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -165, Alaves +600, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-167)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 58.8%
  • Alaves: 16.2%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves (16.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.8%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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