Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves La Liga match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
0
Sep 13, 12:30 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 13, 12:30 PM ET Estadio de San Mamés (Bilbao)
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Berenguer (o.g.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Izeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces M. Diarra
85'
Yellow Card
M. Sannadi (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces A. Berenguer
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Pacheco replaces C. Alena
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces O. Sancet
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by A. Berenguer (o.g.)
1-0
53'
Yellow Card
A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces J. Guridi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces M. Diaz
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces C. Vicente
30'
Yellow Card
M. Diaz (Alaves) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de San Mamés

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -165, Alaves +600, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-167)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 58.8%
  • Alaves: 16.2%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves (16.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.8%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.