Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal La Liga match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
2
Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
P. Barrios (9')
Soccer ball icon
N. Gonzalez (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Yellow Card
    S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces D. Hancko
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces S. Cardona
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Mikautadze
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Pubill replaces R. Le Normand
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces N. Gonzalez
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: D. Hancko replaces M. Ruggeri
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card
    M. Ruggeri (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card
    R. Veiga (Villarreal) cautioned
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces N. Pepe
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Comesana replaces A. Moleiro
  13. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: P. Gueye replaces T. Partey
  14. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Gonzalez, assisted by M. Llorente
    0-2
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces J. Alvarez
  16. 32'
    Yellow Card
    J. Alvarez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  17. 24'
    Yellow Card
    D. Parejo (Villarreal) cautioned
  18. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by P. Barrios, assisted by J. Alvarez
    0-1

Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -125, Villareal +360, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 53.6%
  • Villareal: 23.0%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villareal (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.6%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Atletico Madrid vs. Villareal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.