Villareal vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Villareal vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on January 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
0
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villareal
Estadio de la Ceramica
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
K. Mbappe (47')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Villareal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
    2-0
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces A. Guler
  3. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces D. Parejo
  4. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces G. Mikautadze
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces F. Mastantuono
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: N. Pepe replaces T. Buchanan
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Moreno
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card
    F. Mastantuono (Real Madrid) cautioned
  9. 57'
    Yellow Card
    P. Navarro (Villarreal) cautioned
  10. 51'
    Yellow Card
    T. Buchanan (Villarreal) cautioned
  11. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe
    1-0
  12. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: R. Marin replaces J. Foyth
  13. 2'
    Yellow Card
    J. Foyth (Villarreal) cautioned

Villareal vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal +295, Real Madrid -115, draw +310

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Villareal: 27.8%
  • Real Madrid: 49.9%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Villareal 1-1 Real Madrid (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Villareal vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.9%.

The most likely correct score is Villareal 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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