Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on January 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
2
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Peque (42')
Soccer ball icon
A. Adams (pen.) (56')
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R. Navarro (40')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Yellow Card
    Joan Jordan (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Joan Jordan replaces Peque
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces I. Romero
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces O. Sancet
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: M. Bueno replaces N. Gudelj
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
  7. 62'
    Yellow Card
    N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
  8. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces R. Navarro
  9. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Hierro replaces Izeta
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Oso replaces G. Suazo
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams (pen.)
    1-2
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Castrin replaces D. Sow
  13. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by Peque, assisted by J. Sanchez
    1-1
  14. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro
    1-0
  15. 22'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
  16. 21'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +165, Athletic Bilbao +200, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+144/-175)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 36.3%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.7%
  • Draw: 29.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.3%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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