Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Aston Villa
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1
Sep 21, 9:00 AM ET Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Sunderland
Sep 21, 9:00 AM ET Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
R. Mandava (33')
Red Card icon
W. Isidor (75')
Soccer ball icon
M. Cash (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: D. Neil replaces N. Sadiki
88'
Yellow Card
G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces M. Rogers
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces B. Kamara
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: L. Geertruida replaces E. Le Fee
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces W. Isidor
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: A. Masuaku replaces C. Talbi
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sunderland by W. Isidor, assisted by G. Xhaka
1-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces E. Guessand
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by B. Kamara
1-0
63'
Yellow Card
I. Maatsen (Aston Villa) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: H. Elliott replaces L. Digne
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces E. Buendia
37'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: D. Ballard replaces C. Rigg
33'
Red Card
R. Mandava (Sunderland) sent off with a straight red card

Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland +300, Aston Villa +100, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 25.4%
  • Aston Villa: 49.3%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sunderland vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.3%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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