Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Manchester City Premier League match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Manchester City

Sep 21, 11:30 AM ET Emirates Stadium (London)

Arsenal

Sep 21, 11:30 AM ET Emirates Stadium (London)

ArsenalARS

Score Summary

Manchester CityMNC

G. Martinelli (90')

E. Haaland (9')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Arsenal
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
Manchester City
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by E. Eze

1-1

90'

Substitution for Arsenal: C. Mosquera replaces M. Zubimendi

87'

Substitution for Manchester City: J. Stones replaces N. O'Reilly

87'

Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku

84'

Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nwaneri replaces L. Trossard

80'

Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces J. Timber

77'

G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned

76'

Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces E. Haaland

68'

Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces P. Foden

67'

P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces M. Merino

46'

Substitution for Arsenal: B. Saka replaces N. Madueke

46'

Substitution for Manchester City: M. Nunes replaces A. Khusanov

46'

J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned

36'

B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned

Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by T. Reijnders

1-0

Arsenal vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Arsenal vs. Manchester City
Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
Time: 11:30 AM ET
Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Arsenal +105, Manchester City +270, draw +260
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Arsenal: 49.3%
Manchester City: 26.3%
Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Arsenal vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.3%.

The most likely correct score is Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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