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Read Article Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [8/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle and Liverpool will meet in Week 1 of the Premier League on Sunday, with kickoff at 11:30 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Liverpool as the most likely winner in this Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Liverpool, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 25.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 53.5% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.1% chance of going over, with a 64.7% likelihood that both teams score.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Liverpool -105, Newcastle +290
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Liverpool @ -105 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -200 via Bet365
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Liverpool win being the most probable:
- Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool (9.5% probability)
- Newcastle 1-1 Liverpool (9.2%)
- Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool (7%)
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 35.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Liverpool is scheduled to start in the United States at 11:30 AM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 25.2% win probability on Sunday, Liverpool has a 53.5% win probability, and there is a 21.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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