Newcastle vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Liverpool Premier League match on August 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Liverpool
2
:
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
A. Elanga (5')
Soccer ball icon
J. Willock (57')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gakpo (55')
Soccer ball icon
D. Szoboszlai (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Hornicek (Newcastle) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: F. Schar replaces Y. Wissa
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by D. Szoboszlai (pen.)
    2-2
  5. 79'
    Yellow Card
    J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: L. Koumas replaces R. Gravenberch
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: A. Bamba replaces L. Miley
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: R. Araujo replaces J. Jacquet
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ramsey (Newcastle) cautioned
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: V. Munoz replaces R. Ngumoha
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces F. Wirtz
  13. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Willock, assisted by Y. Wissa
    1-2
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces S. Steur
  15. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces W. Osula
  16. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by C. Gakpo, assisted by R. Gravenberch
    1-1
  17. 34'
    Yellow Card
    L. Miley (Newcastle) cautioned
  18. 30'
    Yellow Card
    M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
  19. 30'
    Yellow Card
    J. Frimpong (Liverpool) cautioned
  20. 25'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Wissa (Newcastle) cautioned
  21. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Elanga, assisted by W. Osula
    0-1

Newcastle vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +290, Liverpool -105, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-200/+163)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 25.2%
  • Liverpool: 53.5%
  • Draw: 21.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.5%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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