Senegal vs. France Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Senegal vs. France in the World Cup on June 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Senegal
1
3
Jun 16, 3:00 PM ET MetLife Stadium
France
Jun 16, 3:00 PM ET MetLife Stadium
FranceFRA
Score Summary
SenegalSEN
K. Mbappe (66')
Soccer ball icon
B. Barcola (82')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (90')
Soccer ball icon
I. Mbaye (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • France
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Senegal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Senegal by I. Mbaye, assisted by I. Ndiaye
1-2
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for France by K. Mbappe
1-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Senegal: P. Ciss replaces I. Gueye
87'
Substitution
Substitution for France: R. Cherki replaces D. Doue
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Senegal: I. Ndiaye replaces P. Gueye
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Senegal: B. Dieng replaces N. Jackson
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for France by B. Barcola, assisted by A. Rabiot
0-2
80'
Substitution
Substitution for France: B. Barcola replaces O. Dembele
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Senegal: H. Diarra replaces L. Camara
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Senegal: I. Mbaye replaces I. Sarr
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for France by K. Mbappe, assisted by M. Olise
0-1

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Senegal vs. France: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Senegal vs. France prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Senegal vs. France
  • Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Senegal +650, France -200, draw +375
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+125)
  • Double chance: Senegal or draw +165, France or draw -1000, Senegal or France -475
  • BTTS: Yes -105, No +106
  • Win to nil: Senegal +825, France +150

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Senegal: 14.2%
  • France: 64.4%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Senegal 0-1 France (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Senegal vs. France? Prediction & correct score

France is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.4%.

The most likely correct score is Senegal 0-1 France.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Senegal vs. France, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.