World Cup bets today: Seven round of 16 picks for Sunday ft. England vs. Mexico [7/5/2026]

Today’s World Cup betting tips for July 5, 2026 are here, with England vs. Mexico among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s round of 16 schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest soccer odds to unearth legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of soccer World Cup picks today [7/5, updated 3:39PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best World Cup bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, July 5, 2026.

England ML (+160)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 42.7%
• Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on England to defeat Mexico at +160 odds. A 42.7% probability produces an edge of 4.3%, making this the strongest play for today's World Cup slate.

England vs. Mexico Under 2.5 goals (-156)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)

England vs. Mexico under 2.5 goals carries a 4.0% edge and a probability of 64.9% at -156 odds, according to our model.

England vs. Mexico BTTS: No (-120)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)

Both England and Mexico to score (No) at -120 odds shows a 3.9% edge, supported by a 58.5% probability in simulations.

Norway vs. Brazil over 2.5 goals (-133)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Matchup: Norway vs. Brazil (4:00PM ET)

A 3.0% edge and 60.1% probability make Norway vs. Brazil over 2.5 goals a value play in the Norway vs. Brazil matchup, per our model.

Norway ML (+400)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 22.1%
• Matchup: Norway vs. Brazil (4:00PM ET)

Norway ML at +400 odds presents a 2.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 22.1%.

World Cup round of 16 best bets summary: Sunday, 7/5/2026

As of 3:39PM ET, here are our top World Cup bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming World Cup games to bet on [7/5/2026]

• Norway vs. Brazil (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
• England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Spain vs. Portugal (3:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our World Cup best bets are locked and loaded for July 5, 2026, featuring plays such as England ML vs. Mexico and under 2.5 goals also in the England vs. Mexico matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.