Jul 23, 2026
World Cup betting: Dimers predictions return positive ROI across futures and pre-match markets
Read Article Argentina vs. Cabo Verde prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Argentina vs Cabo Verde predictions for World Cup 2026 Friday.
Argentina and Cabo Verde will meet in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Argentina as the most likely winner of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Argentina and Cabo Verde, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests an 83.8% chance of Argentina winning, a 3.6% chance for Cabo Verde, and a 12.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 70.1% chance of staying under, with a 74.2% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 65.3% probability to win without conceding, with Cabo Verde given a 2.5% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 96.4%.
Keep in mind that soccer markets are settled at the end of 90 minutes. Unlike NBA betting where overtime counts, extra time won't factor into these odds unless explicitly noted.
Cabo Verde vs. Argentina odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Argentina | Cabo Verde | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -650 | +2200 | +800 |
Total Goals
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|
| +140 | -172 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Cabo Verde @ +800 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -172 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Argentina @ -210 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Cabo Verde or Draw @ +550 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -250 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 3.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Argentina win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentina 2-0 Cabo Verde | 18.6% |
| Argentina 1-0 Cabo Verde | 15.4% |
| Argentina 3-0 Cabo Verde | 15.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 25.8% chance of both Argentina and Cabo Verde finding the net and a 74.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Cabo Verde:
Argentina
- Lionel Messi: 54.4% probability
- Lautaro Martinez: 38.7% probability
- Thiago Almada: 22.6% probability
- Enzo Fernandez: 16.9% probability
- Alexis Allister: 13.8% probability
Cabo Verde
- Jovane Cabral: 6.5% probability
- Nuno : 5.8% probability
- Ryan Mendes: 5.7% probability
- Laros Duarte: 4.4% probability
- Sidny Cabral: 2.9% probability
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde game-day updates and essential details
Friday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Argentina and Cabo Verde at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Argentina vs. Cabo Verde
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
DraftKings promo for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde
If you're looking to get money down on Argentina or Cabo Verde, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Argentina has an 83.8% win probability on Friday, Cabo Verde has a 3.6% win probability, and there is a 12.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
