Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Daniil Medvedev faces Pablo Carreno Busta in the ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026 on September 30, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
TENNIS
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TENNIS
Daniil Medvedev
Round of 32
vs.
ATP Beijing, China Men Singles 2026
Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP Beijing, China Men Singles 2026
Pre-Match Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Medvedev
    77.8%
    FanDuelFanDuel
  • Carreno Busta
    22.2%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

  • Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
  • Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Daniil Medvedev -441, Pablo Carreno Busta +355
  • First Set Odds: Daniil Medvedev -303, Pablo Carreno Busta +240

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Daniil Medvedev: 77.8%
  • Pablo Carreno Busta: 22.2%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Daniil Medvedev a win probability of 78%, while Pablo Carreno Busta has a win probability of 22%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Daniil Medvedev is more likely to beat Pablo Carreno Busta at the ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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