Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Picks and Odds

Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

• Who: Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Tommy Paul +400, Carlos Alcaraz -549
• First Set Odds: Tommy Paul +240, Carlos Alcaraz -303

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Tommy Paul: 19.3%
• Carlos Alcaraz: 80.8%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Tommy Paul a win probability of 19%, while Carlos Alcaraz has a win probability of 81%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Carlos Alcaraz is more likely to beat Tommy Paul at the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Our Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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