Tennis bets today: Seven picks for Friday ft. Djokovic vs. Hurkacz [10/9/2026]

ATP Shanghai Masters: Novak Djokovic -2.5 (+100)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz (6:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Novak Djokovic -2.5 at +100 odds in their matchup at ATP Shanghai Masters. A 54.8% probability produces an edge of 4.8%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Shanghai Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Novak Djokovic Under 25.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 61.1%
• Matchup: Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz (6:00AM ET)

At ATP Shanghai Masters, Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz under 25.5 total games carries a 4.6% edge and a probability of 61.1% at -130 odds, according to our model.

ATP Shanghai Masters: Jakub Mensik vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Under 22.5 total games (-111)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Jakub Mensik (4:00AM ET)

Jakub Mensik vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Under 22.5 total games at -111 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 56.9% probability in simulations of the ATP Shanghai Masters match.

ATP Shanghai Masters: Arthur Fery +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Fery (3:10AM ET)

A 3.6% edge and 57.1% probability makes Arthur Fery +3.5 vs. Karen Khachanov a value play in the Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Fery matchup, per our model.

ATP Shanghai Masters: Yi Zhou ML (+430)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 22.8%
• Matchup: Yi Zhou vs. Lorenzo Musetti (7:10AM ET)

Yi Zhou ML at +430 presents a 3.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 22.8%.

ATP Shanghai Masters: Alex de Minaur ML (-271)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 76.2%
• Matchup: Alex de Minaur vs. Alex Molcan (2:20AM ET)

Our model finds value on Alex de Minaur to win at -271 at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

WTA China Open: Qinwen Zheng ML (+128)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Matchup: Qinwen Zheng vs. Elina Svitolina (3:00AM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Elina Svitolina-Qinwen Zheng to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +128. A 46.8% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WTA China Open tennis action.

Tennis best bets summary: Friday, 10/9/2026

As of 2:03AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• ATP Shanghai: Alexander Blockx vs. Quentin Halys (2:10AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Alex Molcan vs. Alex de Minaur (2:20AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Jenson Brooksby vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2:50AM ET, Friday)
• WTA Beijing: Elina Svitolina vs. Qinwen Zheng (3:00AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Arthur Fery vs. Karen Khachanov (3:10AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Jakub Mensik vs. Miomir Kecmanovic (4:00AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Roman Safiullin vs. Francisco Cerundolo (5:00AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Novak Djokovic (6:00AM ET, Friday)
• WTA Beijing: Iga Swiatek vs. Elise Mertens (7:00AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Shanghai: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Yi Zhou (7:10AM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for October 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Novak Djokovic -2.5 vs. Hubert Hurkacz and under 25.5 total games also in the Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.