Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Tuesday ft. Khachanov vs. Auger-Aliassime [9/29/2026]

ATP China Open: Karen Khachanov ML (+143)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Matchup: Karen Khachanov vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (11:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Karen Khachanov to defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime at +143 odds in their matchup at ATP China Open. A 45.6% probability produces an edge of 4.5%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Japan Open: Alexander Blockx vs. Valentin Vacherot Under 25.5 total games (-140)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Matchup: Valentin Vacherot vs. Alexander Blockx (10:00PM ET)

At ATP Japan Open, Valentin Vacherot vs. Alexander Blockx under 25.5 total games carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 62.8% at -140 odds, according to our model.

ATP Japan Open: Valentin Vacherot ML (+120)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 49%
• Matchup: Valentin Vacherot vs. Alexander Blockx (10:00PM ET)

Valentin Vacherot ML at +120 odds shows a 3.5% edge, supported by a 49% probability in simulations of the ATP Japan Open match.

ATP China Open: Alex de Minaur ML (-422)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 84.4%
• Matchup: Alex de Minaur vs. Mariano Navone (10:00PM ET)

A 3.2% edge and 84.4% probability makes Alex de Minaur at the moneyline a value play in the Alex de Minaur vs. Mariano Navone matchup, per our model.

WTA China Open: Magda Linette ML (+136)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Matchup: Magda Linette vs. Katerina Siniakova (10:00PM ET)

Magda Linette ML at +136 presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 45.5%.

ATP China Open: Tallon Griekspoor ML (+172)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 39.1%
• Matchup: Tallon Griekspoor vs. Andrey Rublev (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Tallon Griekspoor to win at +172 at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

ATP Japan Open: Tommy Paul -3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Tommy Paul (11:15PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Tommy Paul -3.5 at -115. A 56.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

WTA China Open: Viktorija Golubic ML (+160)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 41.2%
• Matchup: Viktorija Golubic vs. Alina Korneeva (10:00PM ET)

A 2.8% edge on a 41.2% probability makes Viktorija Golubic to win at +160a solid value play in this WTA China Open matchup.

ATP China Open: Quentin Halys vs. Ignacio BuseUnder 24.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Ignacio Buse vs. Quentin Halys (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 24.5 total games at -125. A 58.2% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's ATP China Open matchup.

ATP China Open: Alex de Minaur -4.5 (-135)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Matchup: Alex de Minaur vs. Mariano Navone (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Alex de Minaur -4.5 at -135 shows a 59.9% probability and a 2.4% edge.

Tennis best bets summary: Tuesday, 9/29/2026

As of 8:33AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• ATP Tokyo: Alexander Blockx vs. Valentin Vacherot (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Mariano Navone vs. Alex de Minaur (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Tokyo: Zizou Bergs vs. Jiri Lehecka (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Bublik (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Quentin Halys vs. Ignacio Buse (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Cameron Norrie vs. Alexander Zverev (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• WTA Beijing: Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• WTA Beijing: Maria Timofeeva vs. Darja Vidmanova (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Andrey Rublev vs. Tallon Griekspoor (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• ATP Beijing: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Learner Tien (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for September 29, 2026, featuring plays such as Karen Khachanov ML vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime and under 25.5 total games in the Valentin Vacherot vs. Alexander Blockx matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.