Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Sunday ft. Swiatek vs. Arango [8/16/2026]

WTA Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango +7.5 games (+104)

• Edge: 17.4%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Emiliana Arango +7.5 games at +104 odds in their matchup at WTA Cincinnati Open. A 66.4% probability produces an edge of 17.4%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

WTA Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games (-106)

• Edge: 17.3%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)

At WTA Cincinnati Open, Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango over 16.5 total games carries a 17.3% edge and a probability of 68.8% at -106 odds, according to our model.

WTA Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk Over 18.5 total games (-122)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)

Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk Over 18.5 total games at -122 odds shows a 8.2% edge, supported by a 63.1% probability in simulations of the WTA Cincinnati Open match.

WTA Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin +6.5 (-140)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)

A 7.3% edge and 65.7% probability makes Sofia Kenin +6.5 vs. Marta Kostyuk a value play in the Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin matchup, per our model.

ATP Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton -5.5 (+260)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 34.8%
• Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria (7:00PM ET)

Ben Shelton -5.5 at +260 odds presents a 7.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 34.8%.

ATP Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima -3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)

Our model finds value on Brandon Nakashima -3.5 at -110 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 6.5%.

WTA Cincinnati Open: Lucrezia Stefanini +5.5 (-122)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Matchup: Marie Bouzkova vs. Lucrezia Stefanini (12:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Lucrezia Stefanini +5.5 at -122 odds. A 60.9% probability produces a 6.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WTA Cincinnati Open tennis action.

ATP Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Brandon Nakashima Under 22.5 total games (-108)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)

A 4.8% edge on a 56.8% probability makes Under 22.5 total games at -108 odds a solid value play in this ATP Cincinnati Open matchup.

ATP Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti ML (+520)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 20%
• Matchup: Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniil Medvedev (11:00AM ET)

Our model projects value on Marco Trungelliti to win at +520 odds. A 20% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making Marco Trungelliti the favorable ML play in today's ATP Cincinnati Open matchup.

WTA Cincinnati Open: Talia Gibson +5.5 (-112)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Talia Gibson (3:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Talia Gibson +5.5 at -112 odds shows a 56.7% probability and a 3.9% edge.

Tennis best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026

As of 2:16AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Cincinnati: Elena Rybakina vs. Taylor Townsend (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• WTA Cincinnati: Sara Bejlek vs. Barbora Krejcikova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• WTA Cincinnati: Viktorija Golubic vs. Janice Tjen (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• ATP Cincinnati: Casper Ruud vs. Christopher O'Connell (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• WTA Cincinnati: Mirra Andreeva vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• ATP Cincinnati: Michael Zheng vs. Ugo Humbert (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• ATP Cincinnati: Daniil Medvedev vs. Marco Trungelliti (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• WTA Cincinnati: Donna Vekic vs. Xinyu Wang (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• ATP Cincinnati: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (12:10PM ET, Sunday)
• ATP Cincinnati: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Daniel Altmaier (12:10PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Emiliana Arango +7.5 games vs. Iga Swiatek and over 16.5 total games also in the Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.