Tennis bets today: Six picks for Friday ft. Mertens vs. Osaka [8/7/2026]
Get ATP & WTA predictions and picks for Friday, August 7, 2026.
Today’s tennis picks for August 7, 2026 are here, with Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka and Maya Joint vs. Liudmila Samsonova among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s tennis play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest tennis odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of tennis picks today [8/7, updated 4:31AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s tennis best bets, ranked by edge for Friday, August 7, 2026.
For an example of how model-backed value plays can add up over a tournament, see how much you could have won betting on Alex Eala's DC Open run.
WTA Toronto: Elise Mertens ML (+214)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 37.4%
- Matchup: Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka (5:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Elise Mertens to defeat Naomi Osaka at +214 odds in their matchup at WTA Toronto. A 37.4% probability produces an edge of 5.5%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.
WTA Toronto: Maya Joint ML (+210)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 37.8%
- Matchup: Maya Joint vs. Liudmila Samsonova (3:00PM ET)
At WTA Toronto, Maya Joint ML carries a 5.5% edge and a probability of 37.8% at +210 odds, according to our model.
ATP Montreal: Jakub Mensik vs. Terence Atmane Under 22.5 total games (+100)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Terence Atmane vs. Jakub Mensik (6:00PM ET)
Jakub Mensik vs. Terence Atmane Under 22.5 total games at +100 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 55.3% probability in simulations of the ATP Montreal match.
WTA Toronto: Alina Korneeva +3.5 (-110)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: Iva Jovic vs. Alina Korneeva (11:00AM ET)
A 2.3% edge and 54.7% probability makes Alina Korneeva +3.5 vs. Iva Jovic a value play in the Iva Jovic vs. Alina Korneeva matchup, per our model.
WTA Toronto: Elise Mertens +3.5 (+100)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka (5:00PM ET)
Elise Mertens +3.5 at +100 odds presents a 2.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.2%.
ATP Montreal: Casper Ruud ML (+116)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Matchup: Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Casper Ruud to win at +116 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 2.1%.
Tennis best bets summary: Friday, 8/7/2026
As of 4:31AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mertens vs. Osaka | Elise Mertens ML | +214 @ DraftKings | 5.5% | 37.4% |
| Joint vs. Samsonova | Maya Joint ML | +210 @ BetMGM | 5.5% | 37.8% |
| Atmane vs. Mensik | Under 22.5 Total Games | +100 @ BetMGM | 5.3% | 55.3% |
| Jovic vs. Korneeva | Alina Korneeva +3.5 vs. Iva Jovic | -110 @ FanDuel | 2.3% | 54.7% |
| Mertens vs. Osaka | Elise Mertens +3.5 Games | +100 @ FanDuel | 2.2% | 52.2% |
| Ruud vs. Fonseca | Casper Ruud ML | +116 @ FanDuel | 2.1% | 48.4% |
List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now
- WTA Toronto: Alina Korneeva vs. Iva Jovic (11:00AM ET, Friday)
- WTA Toronto: Elena Rybakina vs. Ann Li (12:30PM ET, Friday)
- ATP Montreal: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Tallon Griekspoor (12:30PM ET, Friday)
- ATP Montreal: Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida (12:30PM ET, Friday)
- ATP Montreal: Ben Shelton vs. Zizou Bergs (1:40PM ET, Friday)
- ATP Montreal: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp (1:40PM ET, Friday)
- WTA Toronto: Liudmila Samsonova vs. Maya Joint (3:00PM ET, Friday)
- WTA Toronto: Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens (5:00PM ET, Friday)
- ATP Montreal: Jakub Mensik vs. Terence Atmane (6:00PM ET, Friday)
- WTA Toronto: Belinda Bencic vs. Taylor Townsend (6:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for August 7, 2026, featuring plays such as Elise Mertens ML vs. Naomi Osaka and Maya Joint ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
