Tennis bets today: Seven picks for Thursday ft. Pegula vs. Rakhimova [8/6/2026]

WTA Toronto: Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Jessica Pegula Over 18.5 total games (-118)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Matchup: Jessica Pegula vs. Kamilla Rakhimova (1:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 18.5 total games in Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Jessica Pegula at -118 odds in their matchup at WTA Toronto. A 61.3% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

WTA Toronto: Kamilla Rakhimova +6.5 games (-134)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Matchup: Jessica Pegula vs. Kamilla Rakhimova (1:40PM ET)

At WTA Toronto, Kamilla Rakhimova +6.5 games carries a 6.6% edge and a probability of 63.9% at -134 odds, according to our model.

WTA Toronto: Shuai Zhang vs. Aryna Sabalenka Over 18.5 total games (+100)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Shuai Zhang (7:00PM ET)

Shuai Zhang vs. Aryna Sabalenka Over 18.5 total games at +100 odds shows a 6.3% edge, supported by a 56.3% probability in simulations of the WTA Toronto match.

ATP Montreal: Jiri Lehecka ML (-165)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 66%
• Matchup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Blockx (6:00PM ET)

A 3.7% edge and 66% probability makes Jiri Lehecka at the moneyline a value play in the Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Blockx matchup, per our model.

WTA Toronto: Shuai Zhang +6.5 (-118)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Shuai Zhang (7:00PM ET)

Shuai Zhang +6.5 at -118 odds presents a 3.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.3%.

ATP Montreal: Jiri Lehecka -2.5 (-118)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Blockx (6:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jiri Lehecka -2.5 at -118 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 2.7%.

ATP Montreal: Lorenzo Musetti ML (+136)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Matchup: Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Lorenzo Musetti-Rafael Jodar to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +136 odds. A 44.5% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

Tennis best bets summary: Thursday, 8/6/2026

As of 3:23AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Toronto: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Talia Gibson (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Toronto: Diana Shnaider vs. Anna Kalinskaya (12:10PM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Toronto: Iga Swiatek vs. Viktorija Golubic (12:30PM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Montreal: Arthur Fils vs. Mariano Navone (12:30PM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Toronto: Madison Keys vs. Marta Kostyuk (1:20PM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Montreal: Nuno Borges vs. Yannick Hanfmann (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Toronto: Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Jessica Pegula (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Montreal: Alex de Minaur vs. Cameron Norrie (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Toronto: Amanda Anisimova vs. Nikola Bartunkova (5:00PM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Montreal: Alexander Blockx vs. Jiri Lehecka (6:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for August 6, 2026, featuring plays such as over 18.5 total games in the Jessica Pegula vs. Jessica Pegula matchup and Kamilla Rakhimova +6.5 games. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.