Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger prediction, odds, picks for WTA China Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Kenin-Krueger women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Krueger a 56% chance of defeating Kenin at the WTA China Open tournament. Additionally, Krueger has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kenin (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Ashlyn Krueger -160, Sofia Kenin +135
• First Set: Kenin +120, Krueger -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kenin @ +135 via DraftKings
• First Set: Krueger @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sofia Kenin to win.

Although Kenin is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA China Open match between Sofia Kenin and Ashlyn Krueger is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger
• Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Beijing, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Ashlyn Krueger, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Sofia Kenin at the WTA China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.