Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for ATP Montreal 2026

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Jodar vs Musetti predictions for ATP Montreal.

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis Prediction.
Our Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Rafael Jodar will square off with Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 32 at the ATP Montreal event on Thursday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner in this Jodar vs. Musetti prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, backed by the same predictive analytics that recently spotted value throughout Alex Eala's DC Open run.

Jodar vs. Musetti prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Jodar-Musetti men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Jodar a 55% chance of defeating Musetti at the ATP Montreal tournament.

 

Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Jodar Musetti
Moneyline -134 +118
Game Spread -1.5 (-115) +1.5 (-125)
Total Games o23.5 (-105) u23.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jodar vs. Musetti picks and best bet

After going 5-for-5 on Spain-France picks last nights, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Musetti +118
First Set Musetti -140

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Musetti to win.

Although Musetti is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Jodar vs. Musetti updates and essential details

The ATP Montreal match between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Lorenzo Musetti
  • Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Montreal, Canada Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Musetti at the ATP Montreal tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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