Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Kecmanovic-Basilashvili men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Kecmanovic a 64% chance of defeating Basilashvili at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Kecmanovic has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Basilashvili (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nikoloz Basilashvili +188, Miomir Kecmanovic -222
• First Set: Kecmanovic -189, Basilashvili +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Basilashvili @ +188 via DraftKings
• First Set: Basilashvili @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nikoloz Basilashvili to win.

Although Basilashvili is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Nikoloz Basilashvili is scheduled to start on Thursday at 2:10 AM ET.

• Who: Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 AM ET/11:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Miomir Kecmanovic, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.