Marta Kostyuk vs. Taylor Townsend prediction, odds, picks for WTA Guadalajara Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Kostyuk vs Townsend predictions for WTA Guadalajara Open.

Marta Kostyuk takes on Taylor Townsend in WTA Guadalajara action.
Our Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend will lock horns in the round of 16 of the WTA Guadalajara Open event on Wednesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Marta Kostyuk as the most likely winner in this Kostyuk vs. Townsend prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Kostyuk vs. Townsend prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Kostyuk-Townsend women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Kostyuk a 74% chance of defeating Townsend at the WTA Guadalajara Open tournament. Additionally, Kostyuk has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +4.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Taylor Townsend +240, Marta Kostyuk -303
  • First Set: Kostyuk -227, Townsend +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Kostyuk @ -303 via DraftKings
  • First Set: Townsend @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Guadalajara Open match between Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Marta Kostyuk vs. Taylor Townsend
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Guadalajara, Mexico Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Marta Kostyuk, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Taylor Townsend at the WTA Guadalajara Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Editor

Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.

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