Jaume Munar vs. Jaime Faria prediction, odds, picks for ATP Japan Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Munar-Faria men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Munar a 60% chance of winning against Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament. Additionally, Munar has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jaime Faria +158, Jaume Munar -175
• First Set: Munar -164, Faria +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Faria @ +158 via DraftKings
• First Set: Faria @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jaime Faria to win.

Although Faria is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Japan Open match between Jaume Munar and Jaime Faria is scheduled to start on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jaume Munar vs. Jaime Faria
• Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jaume Munar, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.